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Build a Deployment Simulation Eval to Catch Model Drift — ContentBuffer guide

Build a Deployment Simulation Eval to Catch Model Drift

K
Kodetra Technologies··11 min read Intermediate

Summary

Replay real conversations through a candidate model to predict misbehavior before you ship.

Catch model drift before users do

On June 16, 2026, OpenAI published Deployment Simulation, a pre-release safety method that does something almost embarrassingly simple: it takes real past conversations, deletes the answer the old model gave, and asks the new candidate model to answer again. Then it counts how often the new answers misbehave. That single trick let OpenAI forecast deployment-time misbehavior rates across roughly 1.3 million de-identified conversations spanning GPT-5 Thinking through GPT-5.4, and it surfaced a brand-new failure mode ("calculator hacking") before the model shipped.

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